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We separated (I left because of abuse and resulting illness, but how to convince the judge w/o proof?)
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This is the beauty of the family law. You can accuse other party of anything without any evidence. Does your ex has any proof to her claim that you abused her? Most likely not but she is gonna play the card anyway. My ex accused me too of the same. It bothered me a lot in the beginning but now I am so used to it that I don't even bother to read her affidavits anymore.
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sponsorship would be for 3 years. Is the judge likely to rule for 3 years of SS, in this case?
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Your commitment to support her for 3 years has nothing to do with family law. The family court is not going to enforce the agreement that you signed with immigration. Even immigration can only come after you if she goes on welfare during the first 3 years after becoming landed immigration. If her application for permanent residence has not been approved, you can simply contact the immigration in writing and inform them that you are revoking your agreement. Make sure you get a confirmation from immigration of that. There is a newsgroup called misc.immigration.canada; you can post your question regarding this matter over there and hopefully some expert will answer it better than me.
If you agree to support her now, like what today said, you will be setting a precedence. She can then go back to court and claim the support again whenever her circumstances change. I am not against paying support; but one has to earn it first.